San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz basketball prediction

ACB
San Pablo Burgos
vs
Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Correct score
91-91
Home45%
Away55%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz?

Basketball: San Pablo Burgos vs Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (ACB). We make it 91-91. Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 182 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it levelOur predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSan Pablo BurgosBaskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
Wins45%55%
By 6+31%38%
By 11+19%24%
By 16+10%14%
By 21+5%7%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

San Pablo Burgos

Rest
120 d
  1. W110-105Granada
  2. L79-86Joventut Badalona
  3. W85-83MoraBanc Andorra
  4. W97-90Unicaja Malaga
  5. L76-91Barcelona Bàsquet

Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Rest
7 d
  1. L84-96Joventut Badalona
  2. L88-96Joventut Badalona
  3. L63-82Joventut Badalona
  4. W85-71Joventut Badalona
  5. W92-89Unicaja Malaga

Head to head

  1. Mar 15, 26San Pablo Burgos107Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz96
  2. Dec 27, 25Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz89San Pablo Burgos77

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology