Real Madrid vs Unicaja Malaga basketball prediction

ACB
Real Madrid
vs
Unicaja Malaga
Correct score
94-87
Home65%
Away35%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Real Madrid vs Unicaja Malaga?

Basketball: Real Madrid vs Unicaja Malaga (ACB). We make it 94-87. Real Madrid is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 181 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Real Madrid by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginReal MadridUnicaja Malaga
Wins65%35%
By 6+50%21%
By 11+35%11%
By 16+22%5%
By 21+13%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Real Madrid

Rest
113 d
  1. L95-107Tenerife Lenovo
  2. W118-83Tenerife Lenovo
  3. L97-98Tenerife Lenovo
  4. L87-94Manresa Baxi
  5. L83-88Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Unicaja Malaga

Rest
120 d
  1. L89-92Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
  2. L74-95Joventut Badalona
  3. W101-83Breogan
  4. L69-87Murcia
  5. L90-97San Pablo Burgos

Head to head

  1. Feb 19, 26Real Madrid100Unicaja Malaga70
  2. Feb 15, 26Unicaja Malaga92Real Madrid96
  3. Dec 28, 25Real Madrid91Unicaja Malaga82
  4. Jun 17, 25Unicaja Malaga79Real Madrid86
  5. Jun 15, 25Unicaja Malaga86Real Madrid84

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology