Polabi vs Lynx Liberec basketball prediction

1. Liga
Correct score
80-80
Home46%
Away54%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Polabi vs Lynx Liberec?

Basketball: Polabi vs Lynx Liberec (1. Liga). We make it 80-80. Lynx Liberec is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it levelOur predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPolabiLynx Liberec
Wins46%54%
By 6+34%41%
By 11+24%29%
By 16+15%19%
By 21+9%12%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Polabi

Season record
0-1
Points per game
75
Points allowed
84
Rest
8 d
  1. L75-84Valecnici Decin
  2. L73-111Opava 2
  3. L91-100Brno U23 Women
  4. L90-92BK Svitavy
  5. W79-52Opava 2

Lynx Liberec

Season record
1-0
Points per game
81
Points allowed
77
Rest
8 d
  1. W81-77Radotin
  2. L86-96Novy Jicin
  3. L78-79Novy Jicin
  4. L78-101BK Svitavy
  5. W74-55Opava 2

Head to head

  1. Jan 18, 26Polabi69Lynx Liberec80
  2. Oct 31, 25Lynx Liberec78Polabi74
  3. Dec 20, 24Polabi102Lynx Liberec75
  4. Oct 18, 24Lynx Liberec94Polabi69
  5. Dec 8, 23Lynx Liberec78Polabi57

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology