Plzen vs Srsni Pisek basketball prediction

NBL
Plzen
vs
Srsni Pisek
Correct score
85-92
Home30%
Away70%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Plzen vs Srsni Pisek?

Basketball: Plzen vs Srsni Pisek (NBL). We make it 85-92. Srsni Pisek is favoured at 70%. Our predicted total is 177 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Srsni Pisek by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPlzenSrsni Pisek
Wins30%70%
By 6+20%56%
By 11+13%42%
By 16+7%29%
By 21+4%19%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Plzen

Season record
0-2
Points per game
76.5
Points allowed
112
Rest
4 d
  1. L74-115Usti nad Labem
  2. L79-109Decin
  3. L94-107BK Svitavy
  4. L91-96BK Svitavy
  5. W87-82Pardubice 2

Srsni Pisek

Season record
2-0
Points per game
95.5
Points allowed
82.5
Rest
4 d
  1. W111-87Hradec Kralove
  2. W80-78Usti nad Labem
  3. L71-79Pardubice
  4. L63-78Pardubice
  5. L74-78Pardubice

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology