Partizan Mozzart Bet vs Ilirija Ljubljana basketball prediction

ABA League
Partizan Mozzart Bet
vs
Ilirija Ljubljana
Correct score
93-79
Home92%
Away8%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Partizan Mozzart Bet vs Ilirija Ljubljana?

Basketball: Partizan Mozzart Bet vs Ilirija Ljubljana (ABA League). We make it 93-79. Partizan Mozzart Bet is favoured at 92%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Partizan Mozzart Bet by 14Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPartizan Mozzart BetIlirija Ljubljana
Wins92%8%
By 6+81%3%
By 11+65%1%
By 16+47%0%
By 21+31%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Partizan Mozzart Bet

Rest
107 d
  1. L81-83Dubai
  2. W84-70Dubai
  3. L81-86Dubai
  4. L93-99Dubai
  5. L79-92FMP Beograd

Ilirija Ljubljana

Rest
4 d
  1. W86-59Gorica
  2. L74-97KK Krka Novo Mesto
  3. W105-89KK Krka Novo Mesto
  4. L80-94KK Krka Novo Mesto
  5. W72-65KK Triglav Kranj

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology