Final Spor vs Fenerbahce 2 basketball prediction

TBL
Final Spor
vs
Fenerbahce 2
Correct score
84-80
Home66%
Away34%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Final Spor vs Fenerbahce 2?

Basketball: Final Spor vs Fenerbahce 2 (TBL). We make it 84-80. Final Spor is favoured at 66%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Final Spor by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginFinal SporFenerbahce 2
Wins66%34%
By 6+50%22%
By 11+34%12%
By 16+21%6%
By 21+11%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Final Spor

Season record
1-1
Points per game
86.5
Points allowed
85.5
Rest
7 d
  1. L89-91Gaziantep
  2. W84-80Sigortam.net ITU
  3. L88-89CO Basket
  4. L70-77Ankara D.S.I.
  5. L67-77Çayırova Belediyesi

Fenerbahce 2

Season record
2-0
Points per game
78
Points allowed
76.5
Rest
7 d
  1. W86-84Kecioren Baglum
  2. W70-69Balıkesir BŞB
  3. L63-91Konya BBSK
  4. W98-93Konya BBSK
  5. L80-102Konya BBSK

Head to head

  1. Jan 24, 26Fenerbahce 274Final Spor56
  2. Oct 4, 25Final Spor65Fenerbahce 267
  3. Jan 4, 25Fenerbahce 252Final Spor64
  4. Sep 21, 24Final Spor86Fenerbahce 291
  5. Apr 30, 24Fenerbahce 274Final Spor78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology