EPG Koblenz Baskets vs Bayreuth basketball prediction

Pro A
EPG Koblenz Baskets
vs
Bayreuth
Correct score
84-87
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for EPG Koblenz Baskets vs Bayreuth?

Basketball: EPG Koblenz Baskets vs Bayreuth (Pro A). We make it 84-87. Bayreuth is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bayreuth by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginEPG Koblenz BasketsBayreuth
Wins43%57%
By 6+29%43%
By 11+18%30%
By 16+10%19%
By 21+5%11%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

EPG Koblenz Baskets

Rest
147 d
  1. L69-88Giessen 46ers
  2. L75-89Bayreuth
  3. L78-79Tigers Tübingen
  4. W103-94Leverkusen Giants
  5. L60-90BG Göttingen

Bayreuth

Rest
147 d
  1. W103-88Bochum
  2. W89-75EPG Koblenz Baskets
  3. L91-95Phoenix Hagen
  4. L70-93BG Göttingen
  5. W91-86Bremerhaven

Head to head

  1. Apr 26, 26EPG Koblenz Baskets75Bayreuth89
  2. Oct 4, 25Bayreuth89EPG Koblenz Baskets107
  3. Jan 22, 25EPG Koblenz Baskets93Bayreuth95
  4. Jan 3, 25Bayreuth87EPG Koblenz Baskets77
  5. Apr 13, 24EPG Koblenz Baskets93Bayreuth63

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology