Chemnitz 99 Niners vs Phoenix Hagen basketball prediction

BBL
Chemnitz 99 Niners
vs
Phoenix Hagen
Correct score
90-85
Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Chemnitz 99 Niners vs Phoenix Hagen?

Basketball: Chemnitz 99 Niners vs Phoenix Hagen (BBL). We make it 90-85. Chemnitz 99 Niners is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Chemnitz 99 Niners by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginChemnitz 99 NinersPhoenix Hagen
Wins69%31%
By 6+54%20%
By 11+39%11%
By 16+26%6%
By 21+15%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Chemnitz 99 Niners

Season record
0-1
Points per game
82
Points allowed
89
Rest
8 d
  1. L82-89ALBA Berlin
  2. W77-70Giessen 46ers
  3. L90-104Basketball Braunschweig
  4. W86-82Fraport Skyliners
  5. W84-82ALBA Berlin

Phoenix Hagen

Season record
0-1
Points per game
92
Points allowed
102
Rest
7 d
  1. L92-102Rostock Seawolves
  2. W93-86Crailsheim Merlins
  3. W93-82Kirchheim Knights
  4. L82-86Kirchheim Knights
  5. W85-65Bremerhaven

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology