Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins basketball prediction

B League
Brave Thunders
vs
Nagoya Diamond Dolphins
Correct score
77-84
Home33%
Away67%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins?

Basketball: Brave Thunders vs Nagoya Diamond Dolphins (B League). We make it 77-84. Nagoya Diamond Dolphins is favoured at 67%. Our predicted total is 161 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Nagoya Diamond Dolphins by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBrave ThundersNagoya Diamond Dolphins
Wins33%67%
By 6+19%53%
By 11+11%38%
By 16+5%25%
By 21+2%15%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Brave Thunders

Rest
147 d
  1. W88-84Yokohama B-Corsairs
  2. W74-71Yokohama B-Corsairs
  3. L79-89Koshigaya Alphas
  4. L84-90Koshigaya Alphas
  5. L71-80Ryukyu Golden Kings

Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Rest
133 d
  1. L74-90Ryukyu Golden Kings
  2. L65-85Ryukyu Golden Kings
  3. W75-66Utsunomiya Brex
  4. W89-82Utsunomiya Brex
  5. L79-93San-en NeoPhoenix

Head to head

  1. Oct 19, 25Brave Thunders73Nagoya Diamond Dolphins90
  2. Oct 18, 25Brave Thunders72Nagoya Diamond Dolphins86
  3. Apr 9, 25Brave Thunders70Nagoya Diamond Dolphins73
  4. Dec 18, 24Nagoya Diamond Dolphins95Brave Thunders84
  5. Oct 13, 24Nagoya Diamond Dolphins94Brave Thunders87

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology