BC Prievidza vs BKM Lucenec basketball prediction

Extraliga
BC Prievidza
vs
BKM Lucenec
Correct score
89-79
Home81%
Away19%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for BC Prievidza vs BKM Lucenec?

Basketball: BC Prievidza vs BKM Lucenec (Extraliga). We make it 89-79. BC Prievidza is favoured at 81%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it BC Prievidza by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBC PrievidzaBKM Lucenec
Wins81%19%
By 6+68%11%
By 11+53%6%
By 16+38%3%
By 21+24%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

BC Prievidza

Rest
3 d
  1. W103-83Samobor KK
  2. L66-77Levice
  3. L78-105Levice
  4. L75-94Levice
  5. L90-100Levice

BKM Lucenec

Rest
162 d
  1. L70-89Nitra Blue Wings
  2. L72-81Nitra Blue Wings
  3. L73-75Nitra Blue Wings
  4. L74-75MBK Handlova
  5. W93-90BK Svit

Head to head

  1. Mar 16, 26BKM Lucenec86BC Prievidza90
  2. Mar 11, 26BC Prievidza83BKM Lucenec90
  3. Dec 6, 25BC Prievidza88BKM Lucenec67
  4. Oct 4, 25BKM Lucenec88BC Prievidza80
  5. Jan 25, 25BKM Lucenec89BC Prievidza85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology