Balıkesir BŞB vs Kahramanmaras basketball prediction

TBL
Balıkesir BŞB
vs
Kahramanmaras
Correct score
80-80
Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Balıkesir BŞB vs Kahramanmaras?

Basketball: Balıkesir BŞB vs Kahramanmaras (TBL). We make it 80-80. Balıkesir BŞB is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 160 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it levelOur predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBalıkesir BŞBKahramanmaras
Wins55%45%
By 6+39%31%
By 11+25%19%
By 16+14%10%
By 21+7%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Balıkesir BŞB

Season record
0-2
Points per game
67
Points allowed
68.5
Rest
6 d
  1. L65-67Darussafaka
  2. L69-70Fenerbahce 2
  3. L83-100OGM Ormanspor
  4. L90-91Fenerbahce 2
  5. W76-68Bordo Sportif

Kahramanmaras

Season record
1-1
Points per game
77.5
Points allowed
72.5
Rest
7 d
  1. W83-72Ankara Kolejliler
  2. L72-73Goztepe
  3. L78-90Gaziantep
  4. L64-74Gaziantep
  5. W82-77Gaziantep

Head to head

  1. Feb 8, 26Balıkesir BŞB77Kahramanmaras81
  2. Oct 20, 25Kahramanmaras70Balıkesir BŞB83

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology