USK Praha vs Usti nad Labem basketball prediction

NBL
USK Praha
vs
Usti nad Labem
Correct score
82-87
Home35%
Away65%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for USK Praha vs Usti nad Labem?

Basketball: USK Praha vs Usti nad Labem (NBL). We make it 82-87. Usti nad Labem is favoured at 65%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Usti nad Labem by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginUSK PrahaUsti nad Labem
Wins35%65%
By 6+23%51%
By 11+14%36%
By 16+8%24%
By 21+4%15%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

USK Praha

Season record
0-2
Points per game
68.5
Points allowed
81
Rest
2 d
  1. L57-74Decin
  2. L80-88Slavia Prague Era Nbk
  3. L92-100Srsni Pisek
  4. L65-78Srsni Pisek
  5. L76-81Slavia Prague

Usti nad Labem

Season record
1-1
Points per game
96.5
Points allowed
77
Rest
2 d
  1. W115-74Plzen
  2. L78-80Srsni Pisek
  3. L79-103Opava
  4. W87-72Opava
  5. L89-108Opava

Head to head

  1. Dec 30, 25Usti nad Labem88USK Praha79
  2. Oct 29, 25USK Praha86Usti nad Labem92
  3. Mar 30, 25Usti nad Labem75USK Praha72
  4. Mar 5, 25USK Praha76Usti nad Labem93
  5. Jan 29, 25USK Praha82Usti nad Labem90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology