Spisski Rytieri vs BK Svit basketball prediction

Extraliga
Spisski Rytieri
vs
BK Svit
Correct score
88-84
Home64%
Away36%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Spisski Rytieri vs BK Svit?

Basketball: Spisski Rytieri vs BK Svit (Extraliga). We make it 88-84. Spisski Rytieri is favoured at 64%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Spisski Rytieri by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSpisski RytieriBK Svit
Wins64%36%
By 6+49%24%
By 11+34%14%
By 16+22%7%
By 21+12%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Spisski Rytieri

Rest
159 d
  1. L87-113Levice
  2. L62-96Levice
  3. W86-85Levice
  4. L82-105Levice
  5. L66-90BK Kosice Wolves

BK Svit

Rest
158 d
  1. L86-99Slovan Bratislava
  2. L74-89Slovan Bratislava
  3. W65-64Slovan Bratislava
  4. L60-104Slovan Bratislava
  5. W74-72Nitra Blue Wings

Head to head

  1. Mar 7, 26Spisski Rytieri77BK Svit83
  2. Jan 10, 26BK Svit85Spisski Rytieri80
  3. Nov 22, 25Spisski Rytieri99BK Svit86
  4. Sep 27, 25BK Svit103Spisski Rytieri94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology