Saint-Quentin U21 vs JL Bourg U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Saint-Quentin U21
vs
JL Bourg U21
Correct score
78-91
Home16%
Away84%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Saint-Quentin U21 vs JL Bourg U21?

Basketball: Saint-Quentin U21 vs JL Bourg U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 78-91. JL Bourg U21 is favoured at 84%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it JL Bourg U21 by 13Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSaint-Quentin U21JL Bourg U21
Wins16%84%
By 6+9%72%
By 11+5%58%
By 16+2%43%
By 21+1%29%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Saint-Quentin U21

Rest
132 d
  1. L78-81Nancy U21
  2. L88-100Le Mans U21
  3. L88-94JL Bourg U21
  4. L72-109Le Mans U21
  5. L72-106Strasbourg U21

JL Bourg U21

Rest
118 d
  1. L72-85Dijon U21
  2. W87-75Monaco U21
  3. W83-72Gravelines-Dunkerque U21
  4. L73-101Dijon U21
  5. W94-88Saint-Quentin U21

Head to head

  1. May 2, 26JL Bourg U2194Saint-Quentin U2188
  2. Feb 28, 26Saint-Quentin U2184JL Bourg U2198
  3. Feb 22, 25JL Bourg U21108Saint-Quentin U2171
  4. Feb 8, 25Saint-Quentin U2158JL Bourg U2180
  5. Feb 24, 24JL Bourg U21106Saint-Quentin U2173

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology