Paderborn vs Bochum basketball prediction

Pro A
Paderborn
vs
Bochum
Correct score
85-84
Home53%
Away47%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Paderborn vs Bochum?

Basketball: Paderborn vs Bochum (Pro A). We make it 85-84. Paderborn is favoured at 53%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Paderborn by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPaderbornBochum
Wins53%47%
By 6+39%33%
By 11+26%21%
By 16+16%12%
By 21+9%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Paderborn

Rest
147 d
  1. L74-89PS Karlsruhe Lions
  2. L70-105Tigers Tübingen
  3. W92-81Kirchheim Knights
  4. L75-87Crailsheim Merlins
  5. W71-69Wolmirstedt

Bochum

Rest
147 d
  1. L88-103Bayreuth
  2. W96-84Munster
  3. L77-90Crailsheim Merlins
  4. L67-95Giessen 46ers
  5. L58-99Nurnberger

Head to head

  1. Jan 24, 26Paderborn75Bochum83
  2. Nov 7, 25Bochum94Paderborn92
  3. Feb 10, 24Bochum77Paderborn74
  4. Nov 25, 23Paderborn77Bochum69

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology