Orléans Loiret Basket vs Chalons-Reims basketball prediction

Pro B
Orléans Loiret Basket
vs
Chalons-Reims
Correct score
81-78
Home56%
Away44%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Orléans Loiret Basket vs Chalons-Reims?

Basketball: Orléans Loiret Basket vs Chalons-Reims (Pro B). We make it 81-78. Orléans Loiret Basket is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 159 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Orléans Loiret Basket by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginOrléans Loiret BasketChalons-Reims
Wins56%44%
By 6+40%29%
By 11+25%16%
By 16+14%8%
By 21+7%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Orléans Loiret Basket

Rest
11 d
  1. W94-77Loon-Plage Basket
  2. L85-90Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  3. L72-90Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  4. W79-73Vichy-Clermont
  5. W71-56Vichy-Clermont

Chalons-Reims

Rest
11 d
  1. L80-88Denain-Voltaire
  2. L78-79Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  3. L87-89Pau-Lacq-Orthez
  4. W90-69La Rochelle
  5. W62-60Denain-Voltaire

Head to head

  1. Apr 30, 26Chalons-Reims67Orléans Loiret Basket77
  2. Oct 18, 25Orléans Loiret Basket83Chalons-Reims55
  3. Mar 11, 25Orléans Loiret Basket78Chalons-Reims59
  4. Sep 27, 24Chalons-Reims83Orléans Loiret Basket90
  5. Apr 6, 24Orléans Loiret Basket86Chalons-Reims90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology