Naviera Ulloa vs Universidad Catolica basketball prediction

LNB
Naviera Ulloa
vs
Universidad Catolica
Correct score
76-78
Home41%
Away59%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Naviera Ulloa vs Universidad Catolica?

Basketball: Naviera Ulloa vs Universidad Catolica (LNB). We make it 76-78. Universidad Catolica is favoured at 59%. Our predicted total is 154 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Universidad Catolica by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNaviera UlloaUniversidad Catolica
Wins41%59%
By 6+27%42%
By 11+16%27%
By 16+8%16%
By 21+4%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Naviera Ulloa

Season record
7-22
Points per game
76.1
Points allowed
89.2
Rest
3 d
  1. W86-78Espanol de Talca
  2. W77-68CD Las Ánimas
  3. L74-79CD Las Ánimas
  4. L72-92Puerto Montt
  5. L71-82Ancud

Universidad Catolica

Season record
7-21
Points per game
75.8
Points allowed
82
Rest
10 d
  1. L57-59Colo Colo
  2. W81-70Espanol de Talca
  3. L75-76CD Puerto Varas
  4. L62-83CD Puerto Varas
  5. L76-79Leones Quilpue

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology