Leszno vs WKK Wroclaw basketball prediction

1 Liga
Leszno
vs
WKK Wroclaw
Correct score
82-80
Home54%
Away46%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Leszno vs WKK Wroclaw?

Basketball: Leszno vs WKK Wroclaw (1 Liga). We make it 82-80. Leszno is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Leszno by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLesznoWKK Wroclaw
Wins54%46%
By 6+39%32%
By 11+26%20%
By 16+16%11%
By 21+8%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Leszno

Rest
164 d
  1. L79-93ŁKS Łódź
  2. W90-88Kotwica Kołobrzeg
  3. L75-82Spojnia Stargard
  4. L75-89Politechnika Opolska
  5. L69-81WKK Wroclaw

WKK Wroclaw

Season record
0-1
Points per game
66
Points allowed
80
Rest
8 d
  1. L66-80Inowroclaw
  2. L79-90Pelplin
  3. W79-68Inowroclaw
  4. L68-77Polonia Warszawa
  5. L80-89Spojnia Stargard

Head to head

  1. Mar 22, 26WKK Wroclaw81Leszno69
  2. Nov 30, 25Leszno64WKK Wroclaw74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology