Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa basketball prediction

1 Liga
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
vs
Polonia Warszawa
Correct score
84-80
Home58%
Away42%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa?

Basketball: Kotwica Kołobrzeg vs Polonia Warszawa (1 Liga). We make it 84-80. Kotwica Kołobrzeg is favoured at 58%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Kotwica Kołobrzeg by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKotwica KołobrzegPolonia Warszawa
Wins58%42%
By 6+44%28%
By 11+30%17%
By 16+19%9%
By 21+11%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Kotwica Kołobrzeg

Season record
1-0
Points per game
94
Points allowed
80
Rest
6 d
  1. W94-80R. Rzeszow
  2. L68-99Bydgoszcz
  3. L84-94Bydgoszcz
  4. L79-106Bydgoszcz
  5. W91-88Bydgoszcz

Polonia Warszawa

Season record
1-0
Points per game
95
Points allowed
93
Rest
5 d
  1. W95-93Lancut
  2. L72-74Kotwica Kołobrzeg
  3. L71-89Spojnia Stargard
  4. L80-90Zubry Bialystok
  5. W77-68WKK Wroclaw

Head to head

  1. Apr 15, 26Kotwica Kołobrzeg74Polonia Warszawa72
  2. Dec 27, 25Polonia Warszawa64Kotwica Kołobrzeg86
  3. Mar 29, 25Polonia Warszawa76Kotwica Kołobrzeg74
  4. Dec 21, 24Kotwica Kołobrzeg92Polonia Warszawa78
  5. Feb 17, 24Polonia Warszawa95Kotwica Kołobrzeg94

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology