KK Dubrovnik vs Split KK basketball prediction

Premijer liga
KK Dubrovnik
vs
Split KK
Correct score
81-83
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for KK Dubrovnik vs Split KK?

Basketball: KK Dubrovnik vs Split KK (Premijer liga). We make it 81-83. Split KK is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 164 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Split KK by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKK DubrovnikSplit KK
Wins43%57%
By 6+29%42%
By 11+18%28%
By 16+10%17%
By 21+5%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

KK Dubrovnik

Rest
123 d
  1. L68-81Zadar KK
  2. L57-83Zadar KK
  3. W77-69Samobor KK
  4. W86-81Samobor KK
  5. W87-70Alkar

Split KK

Rest
120 d
  1. L76-78Cibona Zagreb
  2. W83-78Cibona Zagreb
  3. L79-84Cibona Zagreb
  4. W99-93Zabok
  5. W86-80Zabok

Head to head

  1. Apr 3, 26KK Dubrovnik73Split KK95
  2. Jan 28, 26KK Dubrovnik86Split KK78
  3. Oct 1, 25Split KK90KK Dubrovnik68
  4. Apr 26, 25Split KK93KK Dubrovnik89
  5. Jan 29, 25KK Dubrovnik64Split KK82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology