Kaposvári KK vs Szedeak basketball prediction

NB I A
Kaposvári KK
vs
Szedeak
Correct score
92-77
Home84%
Away16%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Kaposvári KK vs Szedeak?

Basketball: Kaposvári KK vs Szedeak (NB I A). We make it 92-77. Kaposvári KK is favoured at 84%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Kaposvári KK by 15Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKaposvári KKSzedeak
Wins84%16%
By 6+75%8%
By 11+62%4%
By 16+49%2%
By 21+35%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Kaposvári KK

Rest
124 d
  1. W73-66Atomerőmű Paks
  2. L71-77Atomerőmű Paks
  3. W85-83Atomerőmű Paks
  4. L92-113Atomerőmű Paks
  5. W88-80Atomerőmű Paks

Szedeak

Rest
126 d
  1. W78-66Zalakeramia
  2. L84-102OSE Lions
  3. W77-69NKA Pécs
  4. L63-68KTE-Duna Aszfalt
  5. W90-82Kormend Egis

Head to head

  1. Jan 2, 26Kaposvári KK82Szedeak70
  2. Oct 2, 25Szedeak68Kaposvári KK65
  3. May 18, 24Kaposvári KK88Szedeak95
  4. Apr 27, 24Szedeak89Kaposvári KK94
  5. Mar 10, 24Szedeak89Kaposvári KK77

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology