Hradec Kralove vs Pardubice basketball prediction

NBL
Hradec Kralove
vs
Pardubice
Correct score
78-85
Home30%
Away70%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Hradec Kralove vs Pardubice?

Basketball: Hradec Kralove vs Pardubice (NBL). We make it 78-85. Pardubice is favoured at 70%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Pardubice by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginHradec KralovePardubice
Wins30%70%
By 6+19%56%
By 11+11%42%
By 16+6%28%
By 21+3%18%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Hradec Kralove

Season record
1-1
Points per game
90
Points allowed
96
Rest
3 d
  1. L87-111Srsni Pisek
  2. W93-81Olomoucko
  3. W94-62Zlin
  4. W81-56Zlin
  5. W86-84Olomoucko

Pardubice

Season record
2-0
Points per game
92.5
Points allowed
66.5
Rest
3 d
  1. W100-54Olomoucko
  2. W85-79Brno Basket
  3. L74-91Nymburk
  4. W86-57Nymburk
  5. L71-92Nymburk

Head to head

  1. Jan 3, 26Hradec Kralove65Pardubice86
  2. Nov 1, 25Pardubice105Hradec Kralove73
  3. Jan 10, 24Hradec Kralove59Pardubice85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology