Harem Spor vs Sigortam.net ITU basketball prediction

TBL
Harem Spor
vs
Sigortam.net ITU
Correct score
87-81
Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Harem Spor vs Sigortam.net ITU?

Basketball: Harem Spor vs Sigortam.net ITU (TBL). We make it 87-81. Harem Spor is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 168 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Harem Spor by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginHarem SporSigortam.net ITU
Wins71%29%
By 6+55%18%
By 11+39%10%
By 16+25%5%
By 21+14%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Harem Spor

Season record
2-0
Points per game
102
Points allowed
71.5
Rest
6 d
  1. W91-81Konya BBSK
  2. W113-62Ankara D.S.I.
  3. W78-70Fenerbahce 2
  4. L77-84Bordo Sportif
  5. L75-89CO Basket

Sigortam.net ITU

Season record
1-1
Points per game
89
Points allowed
80.5
Rest
7 d
  1. W98-77CO Basket
  2. L80-84Final Spor
  3. W103-96Kocaeli BŞB Kağıtspor
  4. L73-83Gaziantep
  5. W92-91OGM Ormanspor

Head to head

  1. Feb 8, 26Harem Spor95Sigortam.net ITU86
  2. Oct 19, 25Sigortam.net ITU93Harem Spor89
  3. Mar 10, 24Harem Spor74Sigortam.net ITU77
  4. Nov 18, 23Sigortam.net ITU73Harem Spor71

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology