Espanol Osorno vs Puente Alto CD basketball prediction

LNB
Espanol Osorno
vs
Puente Alto CD
Correct score
83-80
Home57%
Away43%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Espanol Osorno vs Puente Alto CD?

Basketball: Espanol Osorno vs Puente Alto CD (LNB). We make it 83-80. Espanol Osorno is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Espanol Osorno by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginEspanol OsornoPuente Alto CD
Wins57%43%
By 6+42%28%
By 11+28%16%
By 16+16%8%
By 21+9%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Espanol Osorno

Season record
22-14
Points per game
81.2
Points allowed
77.8
Rest
9 d
  1. L65-74Ancud
  2. L82-83Valdivia
  3. L79-95CD Puerto Varas
  4. L91-94CD Las Ánimas
  5. L79-82Puerto Montt

Puente Alto CD

Season record
18-12
Points per game
84.2
Points allowed
79.8
Rest
9 d
  1. L75-87Leones Quilpue
  2. L96-97Universidad de Concepcion
  3. W80-67Universidad Catolica
  4. W85-72Colo Colo
  5. W104-79Espanol de Talca

Head to head

  1. Mar 16, 25Puente Alto CD83Espanol Osorno66
  2. Mar 9, 25Espanol Osorno83Puente Alto CD79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology