Dijon U21 vs Strasbourg U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Dijon U21
vs
Strasbourg U21
Correct score
80-76
Home63%
Away37%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Dijon U21 vs Strasbourg U21?

Basketball: Dijon U21 vs Strasbourg U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 80-76. Dijon U21 is favoured at 63%. Our predicted total is 156 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dijon U21 by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDijon U21Strasbourg U21
Wins63%37%
By 6+49%24%
By 11+34%14%
By 16+22%8%
By 21+13%4%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Dijon U21

Rest
118 d
  1. W69-65Strasbourg U21
  2. W85-72JL Bourg U21
  3. W87-63Ada Blois U21
  4. W102-66Le Portel U21
  5. W101-73JL Bourg U21

Strasbourg U21

Rest
118 d
  1. L65-69Dijon U21
  2. W81-66Cholet U21
  3. W88-70Le Mans U21
  4. W95-73Chalon/Saone U21
  5. W84-81Lyon-Villeurbanne U21

Head to head

  1. May 31, 26Dijon U2169Strasbourg U2165
  2. Mar 7, 26Strasbourg U2163Dijon U2170
  3. Oct 25, 25Dijon U2175Strasbourg U2182
  4. Apr 12, 25Strasbourg U2198Dijon U21101
  5. Dec 20, 24Dijon U2183Strasbourg U2186

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology