Cividale Eagles vs Pallacanestro Forlì 2.015 basketball prediction

Serie A2
Cividale Eagles
vs
Pallacanestro Forlì 2.015
Correct score
85-72
Home86%
Away14%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Cividale Eagles vs Pallacanestro Forlì 2.015?

Basketball: Cividale Eagles vs Pallacanestro Forlì 2.015 (Serie A2). We make it 85-72. Cividale Eagles is favoured at 86%. Our predicted total is 157 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Cividale Eagles by 13Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCividale EaglesPallacanestro Forlì 2.015
Wins86%14%
By 6+75%7%
By 11+60%3%
By 16+44%1%
By 21+28%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Cividale Eagles

Rest
120 d
  1. L76-87Rimini
  2. L66-83Rimini
  3. W85-69Rimini
  4. L69-84Rimini
  5. W90-78Sebastiani Rieti

Pallacanestro Forlì 2.015

Rest
153 d
  1. L65-96Fortitudo Bologna
  2. L73-85Pesaro
  3. W91-86Libertas Livorno
  4. L56-89Verona
  5. W89-81Roseto

Head to head

  1. Mar 7, 26Cividale Eagles80Pallacanestro Forlì 2.01584
  2. Oct 12, 25Pallacanestro Forlì 2.01558Cividale Eagles79
  3. May 21, 25Cividale Eagles78Pallacanestro Forlì 2.01581
  4. May 18, 25Pallacanestro Forlì 2.01583Cividale Eagles72
  5. May 16, 25Pallacanestro Forlì 2.01591Cividale Eagles81

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology