Chalon/Saone vs Limoges CSP basketball prediction

LNB
Chalon/Saone
vs
Limoges CSP
Correct score
90-83
Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Chalon/Saone vs Limoges CSP?

Basketball: Chalon/Saone vs Limoges CSP (LNB). We make it 90-83. Chalon/Saone is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Chalon/Saone by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginChalon/SaoneLimoges CSP
Wins69%31%
By 6+56%19%
By 11+41%10%
By 16+28%5%
By 21+17%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Chalon/Saone

Rest
126 d
  1. L81-102Strasbourg
  2. W91-75Nancy SLUC
  3. W91-90Strasbourg
  4. W93-58Le Portel
  5. W105-103Paris Basketball

Limoges CSP

Rest
132 d
  1. L84-101Le Mans
  2. W80-72Boulazac
  3. W105-83Le Portel
  4. W97-79Nanterre 92
  5. L71-92JL Bourg

Head to head

  1. Mar 13, 26Chalon/Saone109Limoges CSP56
  2. Jan 10, 26Limoges CSP95Chalon/Saone83
  3. Jan 24, 25Chalon/Saone92Limoges CSP76
  4. Nov 1, 24Limoges CSP74Chalon/Saone68
  5. Mar 30, 24Limoges CSP107Chalon/Saone88

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology