Chalon/Saone U21 vs Limoges CSP U21 basketball prediction

LNB Espoirs U21
Chalon/Saone U21
vs
Limoges CSP U21
Correct score
86-76
Home79%
Away21%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Chalon/Saone U21 vs Limoges CSP U21?

Basketball: Chalon/Saone U21 vs Limoges CSP U21 (LNB Espoirs U21). We make it 86-76. Chalon/Saone U21 is favoured at 79%. Our predicted total is 162 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Chalon/Saone U21 by 10Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginChalon/Saone U21Limoges CSP U21
Wins79%21%
By 6+67%12%
By 11+52%6%
By 16+38%3%
By 21+25%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Chalon/Saone U21

Rest
132 d
  1. L73-95Strasbourg U21
  2. L79-83Le Portel U21
  3. L77-94Paris U21
  4. W84-72Nancy U21
  5. L81-93JL Bourg U21

Limoges CSP U21

Rest
132 d
  1. L62-84Le Mans U21
  2. L63-75Boulazac U21
  3. L83-89Le Portel U21
  4. L42-83Strasbourg U21
  5. L81-95Nanterre U21

Head to head

  1. Mar 14, 26Chalon/Saone U2198Limoges CSP U2151
  2. Jan 10, 26Limoges CSP U2169Chalon/Saone U2172
  3. Jan 25, 25Chalon/Saone U2164Limoges CSP U2162
  4. Nov 1, 24Limoges CSP U2178Chalon/Saone U2180
  5. Mar 30, 24Limoges CSP U2196Chalon/Saone U2161

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology