Borac Čačak vs Crvena zvezda basketball prediction

ABA League
Correct scoreOur pick
84-85

Spread: Home +92.09

Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home6.61
Away1.06
Total points 166.5
Over1.83
Under1.83
Spread +10.5
Home1.83
Away1.83

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Borac Čačak vs Crvena zvezda?

Basketball: Borac Čačak vs Crvena zvezda (ABA League). We make it 84-85. Crvena zvezda is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 169 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Crvena zvezda by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBorac ČačakCrvena zvezda
Wins43%57%
By 6+27%39%
By 11+15%24%
By 16+7%12%
By 21+3%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Borac Čačak

Rest
129 d
  1. L68-75Subotica
  2. L66-83Subotica
  3. W97-65TFT Skopje
  4. W97-61TFT Skopje
  5. L89-98Mega Basket Belgrade

Crvena zvezda

Rest
119 d
  1. L89-90Subotica
  2. L78-89Partizan Mozzart Bet
  3. L94-100Partizan Mozzart Bet
  4. W95-86Cedevita Olimpija
  5. L86-92Cedevita Olimpija

Head to head

  1. Feb 18, 26Crvena zvezda93Borac Čačak77
  2. Mar 23, 25Borac Čačak72Crvena zvezda98
  3. Feb 12, 25Crvena zvezda104Borac Čačak70
  4. Nov 17, 24Crvena zvezda105Borac Čačak85
  5. Jan 14, 24Crvena zvezda90Borac Čačak74

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology