Blackeberg Women vs Umea Women basketball prediction

Basketettan Women
Correct score
71-60
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Blackeberg Women vs Umea Women?

Basketball: Blackeberg Women vs Umea Women (Basketettan Women). We make it 71-60. Blackeberg Women is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 131 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Blackeberg Women by 11Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginBlackeberg WomenUmea Women
Wins76%24%
By 6+65%16%
By 11+54%10%
By 16+42%6%
By 21+31%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Blackeberg Women

Season record
1-0
Points per game
68
Points allowed
64
Rest
7 d
  1. W68-64Alvik 2 Women
  2. L73-75Lulea Stars Women
  3. L67-97Fryshuset Basket Women
  4. W75-58Tureberg Women
  5. L64-87Hammarby Women

Umea Women

Season record
0-1
Points per game
60
Points allowed
71
Rest
6 d
  1. L60-71Fryshuset Basket Women
  2. L44-58Lulea Stars Women
  3. W65-55Ostersund 2 Women
  4. W69-64Tureberg Women
  5. L25-84Hammarby Women

Head to head

  1. Oct 11, 25Umea Women46Blackeberg Women68
  2. Oct 4, 25Blackeberg Women75Umea Women46
  3. Feb 22, 25Umea Women81Blackeberg Women61
  4. Oct 26, 24Blackeberg Women59Umea Women68
  5. Mar 24, 24Blackeberg Women78Umea Women55

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology