Atomerőmű Paks vs NKA Pécs basketball prediction

NB I A
Atomerőmű Paks
vs
NKA Pécs
Correct score
94-77
Home87%
Away13%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Atomerőmű Paks vs NKA Pécs?

Basketball: Atomerőmű Paks vs NKA Pécs (NB I A). We make it 94-77. Atomerőmű Paks is favoured at 87%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Atomerőmű Paks by 17Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAtomerőmű PaksNKA Pécs
Wins87%13%
By 6+79%6%
By 11+68%3%
By 16+55%1%
By 21+41%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Atomerőmű Paks

Rest
124 d
  1. L66-73Kaposvári KK
  2. W77-71Kaposvári KK
  3. L83-85Kaposvári KK
  4. W113-92Kaposvári KK
  5. L80-88Kaposvári KK

NKA Pécs

Rest
126 d
  1. L98-118Kormend Egis
  2. L93-96KTE-Duna Aszfalt
  3. L69-77Szedeak
  4. L81-92Zalakeramia
  5. L84-89OSE Lions

Head to head

  1. Mar 13, 26Atomerőmű Paks105NKA Pécs76
  2. Nov 15, 25NKA Pécs79Atomerőmű Paks88
  3. Feb 12, 25NKA Pécs61Atomerőmű Paks78
  4. Oct 30, 24Atomerőmű Paks102NKA Pécs81
  5. Jan 13, 24Atomerőmű Paks81NKA Pécs79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology