Antibes vs Nantes basketball prediction

Pro B
Antibes
vs
Nantes
Correct score
81-85
Home37%
Away63%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Antibes vs Nantes?

Basketball: Antibes vs Nantes (Pro B). We make it 81-85. Nantes is favoured at 63%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Nantes by 4Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAntibesNantes
Wins37%63%
By 6+23%47%
By 11+12%31%
By 16+6%18%
By 21+2%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Antibes

Rest
10 d
  1. W85-79La Ravoire-challes
  2. L86-93Caen
  3. L81-108Nantes
  4. W83-72Vichy-Clermont
  5. L71-92Pau-Lacq-Orthez

Nantes

Rest
10 d
  1. L82-84Angers
  2. L75-85Poitiers
  3. L79-88Poitiers
  4. W83-80Poitiers
  5. W88-68Ada Blois

Head to head

  1. May 8, 26Nantes108Antibes81
  2. Oct 24, 25Antibes79Nantes91
  3. Apr 11, 25Antibes87Nantes65
  4. Nov 1, 24Nantes79Antibes82
  5. Apr 19, 24Nantes88Antibes103

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology