Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Quezon City basketball prediction

MPBL
Valenzuela City Darkhorse
vs
Quezon City
Correct score
86-85
Home54%
Away46%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Quezon City?

Basketball: Valenzuela City Darkhorse vs Quezon City (MPBL). We make it 86-85. Valenzuela City Darkhorse is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v3Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Valenzuela City Darkhorse by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginValenzuela City DarkhorseQuezon City
Wins54%46%
By 6+40%32%
By 11+27%21%
By 16+16%12%
By 21+9%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Valenzuela City Darkhorse

Season record
14-12
Points per game
86
Points allowed
87.9
Rest
17 d
  1. W98-90Ilagan Isabela Cowboys
  2. L71-81Rizal Golden Coolers
  3. L70-106Abra Weavers
  4. W76-73Zamboanga Sikat
  5. W87-82Bulacan Kuyas

Quezon City

Season record
14-13
Points per game
83.9
Points allowed
82.9
Rest
10 d
  1. W89-88Pasig City
  2. L54-70Batangas City
  3. W65-61Mindoro Tamaraws
  4. W107-95Sarangani Marlins
  5. L51-79Abra Weavers

Head to head

  1. May 14, 26Quezon City83Valenzuela City Darkhorse90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology