Trier vs Bonn Telekom Baskets basketball prediction

BBL
Trier
vs
Bonn Telekom Baskets
Correct score
90-88
Home57%
Away43%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Trier vs Bonn Telekom Baskets?

Basketball: Trier vs Bonn Telekom Baskets (BBL). We make it 90-88. Trier is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 178 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Trier by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginTrierBonn Telekom Baskets
Wins57%43%
By 6+42%29%
By 11+29%18%
By 16+18%10%
By 21+10%5%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Trier

Season record
0-1
Points per game
107
Points allowed
116
Rest
6 d
  1. L107-116Basketball Braunschweig
  2. L62-99Bayern Munich
  3. L65-92Bayern Munich
  4. L80-101Bayern Munich
  5. W76-69Rostock Seawolves

Bonn Telekom Baskets

Season record
1-0
Points per game
96
Points allowed
72
Rest
5 d
  1. W96-72Hamburg Towers
  2. L57-77Bayern Munich
  3. L69-91Bayern Munich
  4. L78-83Bayern Munich
  5. W66-63Wurzburg

Head to head

  1. May 8, 26Bonn Telekom Baskets102Trier77
  2. Dec 13, 25Trier102Bonn Telekom Baskets98
  3. Oct 17, 25Trier107Bonn Telekom Baskets90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology