Soproni KC vs DEAC basketball prediction

NB I A
Soproni KC
vs
DEAC
Correct score
86-80
Home71%
Away29%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Soproni KC vs DEAC?

Basketball: Soproni KC vs DEAC (NB I A). We make it 86-80. Soproni KC is favoured at 71%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Soproni KC by 6Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSoproni KCDEAC
Wins71%29%
By 6+57%18%
By 11+43%10%
By 16+29%5%
By 21+18%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Soproni KC

Rest
134 d
  1. W90-88DEAC
  2. W93-89DEAC
  3. L72-79DEAC
  4. L96-102Alba Fehérvár
  5. L76-91Alba Fehérvár

DEAC

Rest
134 d
  1. L88-90Soproni KC
  2. L89-93Soproni KC
  3. W79-72Soproni KC
  4. L70-92Budapesti Honved Se
  5. L67-70Budapesti Honved Se

Head to head

  1. May 14, 26DEAC88Soproni KC90
  2. May 12, 26Soproni KC93DEAC89
  3. May 9, 26DEAC79Soproni KC72
  4. Mar 13, 26DEAC94Soproni KC70
  5. Nov 15, 25Soproni KC61DEAC75

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology