Slavia Prague Tygri vs Litomerice BK basketball prediction

1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
vs
Litomerice BK
Correct score
80-78
Home54%
Away46%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Slavia Prague Tygri vs Litomerice BK?

Basketball: Slavia Prague Tygri vs Litomerice BK (1. Liga). We make it 80-78. Slavia Prague Tygri is favoured at 54%. Our predicted total is 158 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Slavia Prague Tygri by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSlavia Prague TygriLitomerice BK
Wins54%46%
By 6+41%34%
By 11+30%23%
By 16+20%15%
By 21+12%9%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Slavia Prague Tygri

Season record
0-1
Points per game
76
Points allowed
88
Rest
7 d
  1. L76-88Sokol Prazsky

Litomerice BK

Season record
0-1
Points per game
70
Points allowed
76
Rest
7 d
  1. L70-76BK Jindrichuv Hradec
  2. L64-75Zlin
  3. L62-88Zlin
  4. L76-89Zlin
  5. L77-80Pardubice 2

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology