Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies basketball prediction

B League
Saga Ballooners
vs
Hiroshima Dragonflies
Correct score
83-83
Home52%
Away48%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies?

Basketball: Saga Ballooners vs Hiroshima Dragonflies (B League). We make it 83-83. Saga Ballooners is favoured at 52%. Our predicted total is 166 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it levelOur predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginSaga BalloonersHiroshima Dragonflies
Wins52%48%
By 6+37%33%
By 11+23%20%
By 16+13%12%
By 21+7%6%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Saga Ballooners

Rest
145 d
  1. W87-70Akita
  2. W85-72Akita
  3. L91-96Ryukyu Golden Kings
  4. L78-92Ryukyu Golden Kings
  5. W71-66Nagoya Diamond Dolphins

Hiroshima Dragonflies

Rest
145 d
  1. L91-101Toyama Grouses
  2. L89-96Toyama Grouses
  3. L74-88Chiba
  4. L68-83Chiba
  5. W81-69Shiga

Head to head

  1. Oct 19, 25Hiroshima Dragonflies91Saga Ballooners79
  2. Oct 18, 25Hiroshima Dragonflies114Saga Ballooners92
  3. Dec 15, 24Saga Ballooners74Hiroshima Dragonflies79
  4. Dec 14, 24Saga Ballooners91Hiroshima Dragonflies95
  5. Oct 13, 24Hiroshima Dragonflies81Saga Ballooners90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology