Los Angeles Sparks Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Los Angeles Sparks Women
vs
Golden State Valkyries Women
Correct score
78-85
Home21%
Away79%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Los Angeles Sparks Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women?

Basketball: Los Angeles Sparks Women vs Golden State Valkyries Women (NBA Women). We make it 78-85. Golden State Valkyries Women is favoured at 79%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Golden State Valkyries Women by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLos Angeles Sparks WomenGolden State Valkyries Women
Wins21%79%
By 6+13%62%
By 11+7%45%
By 16+3%29%
By 21+2%17%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Los Angeles Sparks Women

Season record
18-26
Points per game
87.8
Points allowed
90.8
Rest
2 d
  1. L79-89Las Vegas Aces Women
  2. W105-84Portland Women
  3. W97-77Dallas Wings Women
  4. W90-74Seattle Storm Women
  5. L82-88Washington Mystics Women

Golden State Valkyries Women

Season record
31-11
Points per game
82
Points allowed
74.6
Rest
5 d
  1. W70-57Seattle Storm Women
  2. W82-66Portland Women
  3. W86-69Portland Women
  4. W79-60New York Liberty Women
  5. W89-64Connecticut Sun Women

Head to head

  1. Aug 9, 26Los Angeles Sparks Women78Golden State Valkyries Women84
  2. Jun 16, 26Golden State Valkyries Women78Los Angeles Sparks Women58
  3. Aug 10, 25Golden State Valkyries Women72Los Angeles Sparks Women59
  4. Jun 10, 25Los Angeles Sparks Women81Golden State Valkyries Women89
  5. May 24, 25Los Angeles Sparks Women73Golden State Valkyries Women82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology