Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
Correct score
82-89
Home22%
Away78%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli?

Basketball: Keila Basket vs Rigas Zelli (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 82-89. Rigas Zelli is favoured at 78%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Rigas Zelli by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginKeila BasketRigas Zelli
Wins22%78%
By 6+14%63%
By 11+8%47%
By 16+4%32%
By 21+2%20%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Keila Basket

Rest
160 d
  1. L76-105BC Kalev/Cramo
  2. L74-101BC Kalev/Cramo
  3. L101-106BC Kalev/Cramo
  4. L88-102Rigas Zelli
  5. W93-83Keila KK

Rigas Zelli

Rest
134 d
  1. W93-80VEF Riga
  2. W112-100VEF Riga
  3. L84-94VEF Riga
  4. L93-98Valmiera Glass VIA
  5. W107-62Valmiera Glass VIA

Head to head

  1. Mar 13, 26Keila KK88Rigas Zelli102
  2. Nov 21, 25Rigas Zelli94Keila KK83
  3. Feb 7, 25Keila KK60Rigas Zelli84
  4. Oct 12, 24Rigas Zelli87Keila KK80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology