CZ.Academy vs Sokol Prazsky basketball prediction

1. Liga
Correct score
83-80
Home55%
Away45%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for CZ.Academy vs Sokol Prazsky?

Basketball: CZ.Academy vs Sokol Prazsky (1. Liga). We make it 83-80. CZ.Academy is favoured at 55%. Our predicted total is 163 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it CZ.Academy by 3Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginCZ.AcademySokol Prazsky
Wins55%45%
By 6+43%32%
By 11+31%22%
By 16+21%14%
By 21+13%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

CZ.Academy

Season record
1-0
Points per game
79
Points allowed
74
Rest
7 d
  1. W79-74USK Prague B
  2. W79-69BK Jindrichuv Hradec
  3. L93-99Basketbal Olomouc
  4. W96-88MS Academy
  5. L73-84Vysoka

Sokol Prazsky

Season record
1-0
Points per game
88
Points allowed
76
Rest
7 d
  1. W88-76Slavia Prague Tygri
  2. W103-79SK Zabovresky
  3. W113-83Karvina
  4. W103-71Panevezys Women
  5. L65-86Karvina

Head to head

  1. Dec 19, 25CZ.Academy120Sokol Prazsky80
  2. Oct 17, 25Sokol Prazsky91CZ.Academy97
  3. Nov 22, 24Sokol Prazsky95CZ.Academy73
  4. Sep 20, 24CZ.Academy95Sokol Prazsky85

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology