Alba Fehérvár vs Kormend Egis basketball prediction

NB I A
Correct score
94-86
Home76%
Away24%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Alba Fehérvár vs Kormend Egis?

Basketball: Alba Fehérvár vs Kormend Egis (NB I A). We make it 94-86. Alba Fehérvár is favoured at 76%. Our predicted total is 180 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Alba Fehérvár by 8Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginAlba FehérvárKormend Egis
Wins76%24%
By 6+62%14%
By 11+48%8%
By 16+33%4%
By 21+21%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Alba Fehérvár

Rest
133 d
  1. L90-98Budapesti Honved Se
  2. L73-79Budapesti Honved Se
  3. W101-79Budapesti Honved Se
  4. W102-96Soproni KC
  5. W91-76Soproni KC

Kormend Egis

Rest
125 d
  1. W118-98NKA Pécs
  2. W101-99Zalakeramia
  3. L77-81KTE-Duna Aszfalt
  4. L87-123OSE Lions
  5. L82-90Szedeak

Head to head

  1. Mar 6, 26Alba Fehérvár94Kormend Egis96
  2. Nov 8, 25Kormend Egis108Alba Fehérvár96
  3. Dec 28, 24Kormend Egis75Alba Fehérvár93
  4. Oct 1, 24Alba Fehérvár114Kormend Egis86
  5. Feb 3, 24Kormend Egis103Alba Fehérvár98

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology