Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women basketball prediction

NBA Women
Washington Mystics Women
vs
Chicago Sky Women
Correct score
89-82
Home73%
Away27%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women?

Basketball: Washington Mystics Women vs Chicago Sky Women (NBA Women). We make it 89-82. Washington Mystics Women is favoured at 73%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Washington Mystics Women by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginWashington Mystics WomenChicago Sky Women
Wins73%27%
By 6+57%17%
By 11+41%9%
By 16+27%5%
By 21+16%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Washington Mystics Women

Season record
28-16
Points per game
83.4
Points allowed
82.3
Rest
4 d
  1. W93-77Indiana Fever Women
  2. W110-80Chicago Sky Women
  3. W88-82Los Angeles Sparks Women
  4. W80-73Phoenix Mercury Women
  5. W94-84Phoenix Mercury Women

Chicago Sky Women

Season record
15-29
Points per game
87
Points allowed
90.5
Rest
5 d
  1. L81-106Atlanta Dream Women
  2. L80-110Washington Mystics Women
  3. L66-85New York Liberty Women
  4. L81-87Connecticut Sun Women
  5. W113-90Indiana Fever Women

Head to head

  1. Sep 18, 26Chicago Sky Women80Washington Mystics Women110
  2. Jun 2, 26Washington Mystics Women90Chicago Sky Women72
  3. Aug 6, 25Chicago Sky Women78Washington Mystics Women64
  4. Jul 29, 25Washington Mystics Women103Chicago Sky Women86
  5. Jul 8, 25Washington Mystics Women81Chicago Sky Women79

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology