Vechta vs Bamberg basketball prediction

BBL
Vechta
vs
Bamberg
Correct score
92-85
Home78%
Away22%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Vechta vs Bamberg?

Basketball: Vechta vs Bamberg (BBL). We make it 92-85. Vechta is favoured at 78%. Our predicted total is 177 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Vechta by 7Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginVechtaBamberg
Wins78%22%
By 6+63%14%
By 11+46%8%
By 16+32%4%
By 21+20%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Vechta

Rest
4 d
  1. W93-82Dziki Warszawa
  2. W103-73Promitheas Patras
  3. W98-88Benfica Lisbon
  4. W101-98Denizli Basket
  5. L89-98ALBA Berlin

Bamberg

Season record
0-1
Points per game
72
Points allowed
108
Rest
4 d
  1. L72-108Bayern Munich
  2. L66-97ALBA Berlin
  3. W81-67ALBA Berlin
  4. W81-73ALBA Berlin
  5. L71-85ALBA Berlin

Head to head

  1. Apr 2, 26Vechta96Bamberg93
  2. Jan 28, 26Bamberg96Vechta86
  3. May 11, 25Bamberg86Vechta73
  4. Nov 8, 24Vechta101Bamberg98
  5. May 9, 24Bamberg94Vechta65

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology