Tartu Ulikool vs Bigbank/Kalev basketball prediction

Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
vs
Bigbank/Kalev
Correct score
85-86
Home43%
Away57%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Tartu Ulikool vs Bigbank/Kalev?

Basketball: Tartu Ulikool vs Bigbank/Kalev (Latvia-Estonian League). We make it 85-86. Bigbank/Kalev is favoured at 57%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Bigbank/Kalev by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginTartu UlikoolBigbank/Kalev
Wins43%57%
By 6+30%42%
By 11+20%29%
By 16+12%18%
By 21+6%10%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Tartu Ulikool

Rest
118 d
  1. W85-65BC Kalev/Cramo
  2. L109-116BC Kalev/Cramo
  3. L77-83BC Kalev/Cramo
  4. W82-81BC Kalev/Cramo
  5. W83-78BC Kalev/Cramo

Bigbank/Kalev

Rest
118 d
  1. L65-85Tartu Ulikool
  2. W116-109Tartu Ulikool
  3. W83-77Tartu Ulikool
  4. L81-82Tartu Ulikool
  5. L78-83Tartu Ulikool

Head to head

  1. May 29, 26Tartu Ulikool85BC Kalev/Cramo65
  2. May 26, 26BC Kalev/Cramo116Tartu Ulikool109
  3. May 23, 26Tartu Ulikool77BC Kalev/Cramo83
  4. May 20, 26BC Kalev/Cramo81Tartu Ulikool82
  5. May 16, 26Tartu Ulikool83BC Kalev/Cramo78

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

Premium

Premium

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

  • Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
  • Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
  • Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
  • Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
  • Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Telegram

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology