Panathinaikos vs Paris Basketball basketball prediction

Euroleague
Correct scoreOur pick
90-85

Spread: Away +14.51.74

Home67%
Away33%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.14
Away5.55
Total points 172.5
Over1.90
Under1.90
Spread -12.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Paris Basketball?

Basketball: Panathinaikos vs Paris Basketball (Euroleague). We make it 90-85. Panathinaikos is favoured at 67%. Our predicted total is 175 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Panathinaikos by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginPanathinaikosParis Basketball
Wins67%33%
By 6+50%19%
By 11+33%10%
By 16+19%4%
By 21+9%2%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Panathinaikos

Rest
103 d
  1. L85-89Olympiacos Piraeus
  2. W93-86Olympiacos Piraeus
  3. L92-102Olympiacos Piraeus
  4. W68-58Olympiacos Piraeus
  5. L76-82Olympiacos Piraeus

Paris Basketball

Rest
4 d
  1. W81-59Roanne
  2. W95-88Nanterre 92
  3. L92-101Monaco
  4. L84-96Monaco
  5. W88-77Monaco

Head to head

  1. Feb 26, 26Panathinaikos99Paris Basketball104
  2. Nov 11, 25Paris Basketball95Panathinaikos101
  3. Mar 28, 25Panathinaikos98Paris Basketball101
  4. Oct 15, 24Paris Basketball84Panathinaikos80

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology