Naviera Ulloa vs Colo Colo basketball prediction

LNB
Correct score
77-78
Home41%
Away59%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Naviera Ulloa vs Colo Colo?

Basketball: Naviera Ulloa vs Colo Colo (LNB). We make it 77-78. Colo Colo is favoured at 59%. Our predicted total is 155 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Colo Colo by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginNaviera UlloaColo Colo
Wins41%59%
By 6+28%42%
By 11+17%27%
By 16+9%15%
By 21+4%8%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Naviera Ulloa

Season record
6-22
Points per game
75.7
Points allowed
89.6
Rest
8 d
  1. W77-68CD Las Ánimas
  2. L74-79CD Las Ánimas
  3. L72-92Puerto Montt
  4. L71-82Ancud
  5. L56-104CD Las Ánimas

Colo Colo

Season record
9-20
Points per game
75.6
Points allowed
80
Rest
8 d
  1. W59-57Universidad Catolica
  2. W81-74Espanol de Talca
  3. L84-86Puerto Montt
  4. L67-74Puerto Montt
  5. L72-85Puente Alto CD

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology