Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Maccabi Tel Aviv basketball prediction

Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
vs
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Correct scoreOur pick
88-86

Spread: Home +2.51.89

Home59%
Away41%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.99
Away1.82
Total points 172.5
Over1.91
Under1.89
Spread +1
Home1.92
Away1.88

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Maccabi Tel Aviv?

Basketball: Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Maccabi Tel Aviv (Euroleague). We make it 88-86. Lyon-Villeurbanne is favoured at 59%. Our predicted total is 174 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Lyon-Villeurbanne by 2Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginLyon-VilleurbanneMaccabi Tel Aviv
Wins59%41%
By 6+41%26%
By 11+25%14%
By 16+14%7%
By 21+6%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Lyon-Villeurbanne

Rest
5 d
  1. L71-73Roanne
  2. L75-80Cholet
  3. L65-77Cholet
  4. W75-67Cholet
  5. L76-87Paris Basketball

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Rest
93 d
  1. W83-79Hapoel Tel Aviv
  2. L74-80Hapoel Tel Aviv
  3. W102-98Hapoel Tel Aviv
  4. W96-75Hapoel Tel Aviv
  5. W89-61Hapoel Holon

Head to head

  1. Mar 20, 26Lyon-Villeurbanne85Maccabi Tel Aviv89
  2. Dec 11, 25Maccabi Tel Aviv92Lyon-Villeurbanne84
  3. Mar 7, 25Lyon-Villeurbanne95Maccabi Tel Aviv102
  4. Oct 3, 24Maccabi Tel Aviv89Lyon-Villeurbanne82
  5. Mar 19, 24Maccabi Tel Aviv98Lyon-Villeurbanne90

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology