Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bayern Munich basketball prediction

Euroleague
Correct scoreOur pick
88-83

Spread: Away +10.51.87

Home69%
Away31%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.24
Away4.06
Total points 171
Over1.89
Under1.91
Spread -9.5
Home1.90
Away1.90

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bayern Munich?

Basketball: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Bayern Munich (Euroleague). We make it 88-83. Hapoel Tel Aviv is favoured at 69%. Our predicted total is 171 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Hapoel Tel Aviv by 5Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginHapoel Tel AvivBayern Munich
Wins69%31%
By 6+51%18%
By 11+34%9%
By 16+20%4%
By 21+10%1%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Rest
92 d
  1. L79-83Maccabi Tel Aviv
  2. W80-74Maccabi Tel Aviv
  3. L98-102Maccabi Tel Aviv
  4. L75-96Maccabi Tel Aviv
  5. W89-81Hapoel Jerusalem

Bayern Munich

Rest
4 d
  1. W108-72Bamberg
  2. L81-84ALBA Berlin
  3. L61-71ALBA Berlin
  4. W91-83ALBA Berlin
  5. L79-86ALBA Berlin

Head to head

  1. Jan 29, 26Hapoel Tel Aviv64Bayern Munich79
  2. Dec 23, 25Bayern Munich72Hapoel Tel Aviv82

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology