Dubai vs Real Madrid basketball prediction

Euroleague
Dubai
vs
Real Madrid
Correct scoreOur pick
87-86

Total Points: Under 181.51.72

Home56%
Away44%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.77
Away2.04
Total points 172.5
Over1.91
Under1.89
Spread -1.5
Home1.89
Away1.91

Movement needs two stored prices at the same bookmaker. We have 1 so far.

One bookmaker's current prices, settled including overtime, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet.

What is the prediction for Dubai vs Real Madrid?

Basketball: Dubai vs Real Madrid (Euroleague). We make it 87-86. Dubai is favoured at 56%. Our predicted total is 173 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dubai by 1Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDubaiReal Madrid
Wins56%44%
By 6+39%28%
By 11+24%15%
By 16+12%7%
By 21+6%3%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Best bets

Best price found across bookmakers when computed. Odds move, so check the book before betting.

Form and context

Dubai

Rest
103 d
  1. W83-81Partizan Mozzart Bet
  2. L70-84Partizan Mozzart Bet
  3. W86-81Partizan Mozzart Bet
  4. W99-93Partizan Mozzart Bet
  5. W103-77Buducnost VOLI Podgorica

Real Madrid

Rest
110 d
  1. L95-107Tenerife Lenovo
  2. W118-83Tenerife Lenovo
  3. L97-98Tenerife Lenovo
  4. L87-94Manresa Baxi
  5. L83-88Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Head to head

  1. Feb 5, 26Dubai93Real Madrid85
  2. Jan 2, 26Real Madrid107Dubai93

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology