Dep. San Jose vs Capiata Bulls basketball prediction

LNB
Dep. San Jose
vs
Capiata Bulls
Correct score
98-74
Home98%
Away2%

Winner probability. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

What is the prediction for Dep. San Jose vs Capiata Bulls?

Basketball: Dep. San Jose vs Capiata Bulls (LNB). We make it 98-74. Dep. San Jose is favoured at 98%. Our predicted total is 172 points. Settlement is the final score including overtime. The model does not see injuries.

Model basketball-ridge-margin-v2Methodology

How big could the win be?

  • We make it Dep. San Jose by 24Our predicted margin clears every row above this line and falls short of the rows below it.
Show the numbers
Chance of winning by at least each margin, for both teams.
MarginDep. San JoseCapiata Bulls
Wins98%2%
By 6+91%1%
By 11+83%1%
By 16+74%0%
By 21+63%0%
Cumulative: each row is the chance of winning by at least that margin, so the series only falls. The model does not see injuries or rest news.

How many points will fall?

Probability of the combined score clearing each line, from the same model that predicts the score. Settlement is the final score including overtime.

Form and context

Dep. San Jose

Season record
28-5
Points per game
87.2
Points allowed
78.6
Rest
5 d
  1. W67-65Olimpia Kings Asuncion
  2. W90-73Felix Perez Cardozo
  3. W98-87Colonias Gold
  4. W113-75Deportivo Campoalto
  5. W93-76Capiata Bulls

Capiata Bulls

Season record
0-8
Points per game
76
Points allowed
101.4
Rest
7 d
  1. L76-88Felix Perez Cardozo
  2. L62-84Colonias Gold
  3. L75-114Deportivo Amambay
  4. L87-98Deportivo Campoalto
  5. L89-126San Alfonzo

Head to head

  1. Sep 1, 26Capiata Bulls76Dep. San Jose93

Computed from our own stored results. Rest and back-to-back are inputs of the model; injuries and lineups are not, and it never sees them.

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This is a new model with no long public track record. Methodology